PolyShit

High-Conviction Markets

Real-time aggregation of Prediction Market News with 90%+ certainty. When markets speak, we broadcast.
PolymarketNO

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Probability
%
Vol: $18.5M
in about 2 hours
PolymarketNO

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Probability
%
Vol: $19.5M
in about 2 hours
PolymarketNO

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Probability
%
Vol: $22.4M
in about 2 hours
PolymarketYES

US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?

Probability
%
Vol: $3.5M
in about 1 month
PolymarketNO

Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Probability
%
Vol: $53.6M
about 2 months ago
PolymarketYES

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Tommy Paul

Probability
%
Vol: $929.7K
in 6 days
PolymarketNO

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Probability
%
Vol: $22.1M
in 2 days
PolymarketNO

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Polina Kudermetova

Probability
%
Vol: $628.1K
in 7 days
PolymarketNO

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Julieta Pareja vs Xinyu Wang

Probability
%
Vol: $601.1K
in 7 days
PolymarketYES

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 28?

Probability
%
Vol: $429.5K
about 6 hours ago
PolymarketNO

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 28?

Probability
%
Vol: $378.9K
about 6 hours ago
PolymarketNO

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 28?

Probability
%
Vol: $360.6K
about 6 hours ago
PolymarketNO

The Hundred, Women: Sunrisers Leeds vs Manchester Super Giants

Probability
%
Vol: $296.7K
in 7 days
PolymarketNO

Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

Probability
%
Vol: $308.3K
in 10 months
PolymarketYES

US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?

Probability
%
Vol: $511.3K
in about 1 month
PolymarketYES

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Ugo Humbert vs Andres Martin

Probability
%
Vol: $269.2K
in 6 days
PolymarketYES

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 28?

Probability
%
Vol: $258.3K
about 6 hours ago
PolymarketNO

Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?

Probability
%
Vol: $967.5K
in 3 days
PolymarketNO

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?

Probability
%
Vol: $395.4K
about 6 hours ago
PolymarketNO

Targu Mures: Miriam Bulgaru vs Carole Monnet

Probability
%
Vol: $203.7K
in 6 days
PolymarketNO

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Probability
%
Vol: $5.3M
28 days ago
PolymarketNO

Counter-Strike: GenOne vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stage

Probability
%
Vol: $189.3K
about 1 hour ago
PolymarketYES

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?

Probability
%
Vol: $320.5K
about 6 hours ago
PolymarketYES

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?

Probability
%
Vol: $510.1K
about 22 hours ago
PolymarketYES

San Marino: Francesco Maestrelli vs Lukas Neumayer

Probability
%
Vol: $178.4K
in 5 days
PolymarketNO

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?

Probability
%
Vol: $2.0M
in 3 days
PolymarketNO

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?

Probability
%
Vol: $1.4M
in 3 days
PolymarketNO

LoL: TLN Pirates vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season

Probability
%
Vol: $166.4K
in 17 minutes
PolymarketYES

LoL: ZYB Esport vs Esprit Shōnen (BO1) - LFL Regular Season

Probability
%
Vol: $167.0K
in about 1 hour
PolymarketNO

Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Probability
%
Vol: $552.5K
in 11 months
PolymarketNO

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?

Probability
%
Vol: $2.1M
in 3 days
PolymarketYES

Samsun: Dan Added vs Lucas Poullain

Probability
%
Vol: $153.2K
in 5 days
PolymarketNO

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?

Probability
%
Vol: $332.8K
about 6 hours ago
PolymarketNO

Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?

Probability
%
Vol: $2.5M
in 3 days
PolymarketNO

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?

Probability
%
Vol: $1.4M
in 3 days
PolymarketNO

Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Probability
%
Vol: $387.8K
in 5 months
PolymarketYES

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 28?

Probability
%
Vol: $152.0K
about 6 hours ago
PolymarketNO

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?

Probability
%
Vol: $1.0M
in 3 days
PolymarketYES

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?

Probability
%
Vol: $1.8M
in 3 days
PolymarketNO

Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: Team to Advance

Probability
%
Vol: $133.5K
about 3 hours ago
PolymarketYES

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 28?

Probability
%
Vol: $168.4K
about 6 hours ago
PolymarketYES

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Mackenzie McDonald

Probability
%
Vol: $110.8K
in 7 days
PolymarketYES

Bonn: Tom Gentzsch vs Joao Lucas Da Silva

Probability
%
Vol: $107.1K
in 5 days
PolymarketNO

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Probability
%
Vol: $17.2M
in 5 months
PolymarketYES

Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group C

Probability
%
Vol: $96.6K
about 2 hours ago
PolymarketYES

T20 Lanka Premier League: Jaffna Kings vs Colombo Kaps

Probability
%
Vol: $92.1K
in 7 days
PolymarketNO

Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: O/U 2.5

Probability
%
Vol: $89.4K
in about 17 hours
PolymarketYES

Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs

Probability
%
Vol: $90.1K
43 minutes ago
PolymarketYES

Bonn: Max Dahlin vs Matteo Martineau

Probability
%
Vol: $111.8K
in 5 days
PolymarketNO

Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?

Probability
%
Vol: $1.4M
in 3 days
PolymarketYES

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 28?

Probability
%
Vol: $88.1K
about 6 hours ago
PolymarketNO

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?

Probability
%
Vol: $82.1K
in 17 days
PolymarketYES

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 28?

Probability
%
Vol: $85.5K
about 6 hours ago
PolymarketNO

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 28?

Probability
%
Vol: $91.9K
about 10 hours ago
PolymarketNO

Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Probability
%
Vol: $1.6M
in 3 months
PolymarketNO

Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: O/U 3.5

Probability
%
Vol: $75.6K
in about 17 hours
PolymarketNO

Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in July?

Probability
%
Vol: $357.7K
in 3 days
PolymarketNO

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July?

Probability
%
Vol: $272.5K
in 3 days
PolymarketNO

Map Handicap: G1 (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5)

Probability
%
Vol: $72.1K
about 1 hour ago
PolymarketYES

Dota 2: PuckChamp vs KW - Game 2 Winner

Probability
%
Vol: $69.5K
33 minutes ago
PolymarketNO

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?

Probability
%
Vol: $707.6K
in 3 days
PolymarketYES

The Memphis Classic: Zeynep Sonmez vs Cadence Brace

Probability
%
Vol: $66.3K
in 5 days
PolymarketNO

Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Probability
%
Vol: $782.9K
in 3 months
PolymarketNO

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?

Probability
%
Vol: $226.7K
about 6 hours ago