PolyShit

High-Conviction Markets

Real-time aggregation of Prediction Market News with 90%+ certainty. When markets speak, we broadcast.
PolymarketNO

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?

Probability
%
Vol: $1.7M
in 9 days
PolymarketYES

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?

Probability
%
Vol: $1.9M
1 day ago
PolymarketNO

Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

Probability
%
Vol: $27.2M
in 8 months
PolymarketYES

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Probability
%
Vol: $8.3M
in 28 days
PolymarketNO

Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?

Probability
%
Vol: $6.2M
in 6 months
PolymarketNO

Samsun: Cagla Buyukakcay vs Linda Klimovicova

Probability
%
Vol: $353.4K
in 5 days
PolymarketNO

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Probability
%
Vol: $6.3M
in 28 days
PolymarketNO

Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Probability
%
Vol: $32.9M
in about 2 years
PolymarketNO

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Probability
%
Vol: $6.3M
in 28 days
PolymarketNO

Lakers vs. Warriors

Probability
%
Vol: $223.6K
about 2 hours ago
PolymarketNO

Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

Probability
%
Vol: $631.0K
in 9 months
PolymarketNO

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Probability
%
Vol: $4.9M
in 22 days
PolymarketYES

Suzhou: Rebecca Sramkova vs Claire Liu

Probability
%
Vol: $145.8K
in 7 days
PolymarketNO

Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?

Probability
%
Vol: $5.8M
in 6 months
PolymarketNO

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Probability
%
Vol: $40.6M
in 3 months
PolymarketNO

Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Probability
%
Vol: $4.0M
in 3 months
PolymarketNO

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?

Probability
%
Vol: $324.0K
in 25 days
PolymarketNO

Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Probability
%
Vol: $50.8M
in about 2 years
PolymarketNO

Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Probability
%
Vol: $38.7M
in about 2 years
PolymarketNO

Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Probability
%
Vol: $43.7M
in about 2 years
PolymarketNO

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Probability
%
Vol: $6.1M
in 6 months
PolymarketNO

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

Probability
%
Vol: $1.9M
in 25 days
PolymarketNO

Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?

Probability
%
Vol: $2.3M
in 6 months
PolymarketNO

Will Mexico win on 2026-10-05?

Probability
%
Vol: $104.5K
about 2 hours ago
PolymarketNO

Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Probability
%
Vol: $3.2M
in 21 days
PolymarketNO

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?

Probability
%
Vol: $116.8K
in 2 days
PolymarketYES

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

Probability
%
Vol: $602.6K
in 3 months
PolymarketNO

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Probability
%
Vol: $4.4M
in 22 days
PolymarketNO

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House

Probability
%
Vol: $2.9M
in 28 days
PolymarketNO

Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Probability
%
Vol: $18.9M
in about 2 years
PolymarketYES

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 7?

Probability
%
Vol: $101.3K
in about 12 hours
PolymarketNO

Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Probability
%
Vol: $44.2M
in about 2 years
PolymarketNO

Plague pandemic in 2026?

Probability
%
Vol: $82.4K
in 3 months
PolymarketNO

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 7?

Probability
%
Vol: $81.5K
in about 12 hours
PolymarketNO

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Probability
%
Vol: $23.7M
in 3 months
PolymarketNO

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Probability
%
Vol: $3.6M
in 21 days
PolymarketNO

2026 Balance of Power: Other

Probability
%
Vol: $2.2M
in 28 days
PolymarketNO

Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Probability
%
Vol: $2.4M
in 3 months
PolymarketNO

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?

Probability
%
Vol: $94.4K
5 days ago
PolymarketNO

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 7?

Probability
%
Vol: $83.3K
in about 12 hours
PolymarketNO

Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Probability
%
Vol: $20.5M
in about 2 years
PolymarketYES

Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Nicolas Villalon

Probability
%
Vol: $61.6K
in 7 days
PolymarketNO

Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Probability
%
Vol: $35.9M
in about 2 years
PolymarketNO

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Probability
%
Vol: $3.2M
in 3 months
PolymarketNO

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?

Probability
%
Vol: $115.0K
in 2 days
PolymarketNO

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Probability
%
Vol: $10.1M
in about 2 years
PolymarketYES

Wuning 3: Omar Jasika vs Marat Sharipov

Probability
%
Vol: $59.0K
in 7 days
PolymarketNO

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 7?

Probability
%
Vol: $91.5K
in about 12 hours
PolymarketNO

Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Probability
%
Vol: $2.7M
in 3 months
PolymarketNO

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?

Probability
%
Vol: $67.8K
in about 12 hours
PolymarketNO

Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Probability
%
Vol: $3.2M
in 3 months
PolymarketNO

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?

Probability
%
Vol: $230.2K
in 25 days
PolymarketYES

Will Chile win on 2026-10-05?

Probability
%
Vol: $70.1K
about 2 hours ago
PolymarketNO

Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Probability
%
Vol: $414.8K
in 6 months
PolymarketNO

Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Probability
%
Vol: $1.7M
in 21 days
PolymarketNO

Will Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?

Probability
%
Vol: $59.3K
in over 1 year
PolymarketNO

Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?

Probability
%
Vol: $750.2K
in 6 months
PolymarketYES

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?

Probability
%
Vol: $350.0K
in about 24 hours
PolymarketNO

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?

Probability
%
Vol: $1.1M
in 3 months
PolymarketYES

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 7?

Probability
%
Vol: $64.0K
in about 12 hours
PolymarketNO

Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?

Probability
%
Vol: $6.8M
in 6 months