PolyShit

High-Conviction Markets

Real-time aggregation of Prediction Market News with 90%+ certainty. When markets speak, we broadcast.
PolymarketYES

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Probability
%
Vol: $82.6M
1 day ago
PolymarketYES

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Probability
%
Vol: $51.1M
in 29 days
PolymarketNO

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Probability
%
Vol: $101.9M
in 10 months
PolymarketNO

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Probability
%
Vol: $78.0M
in 16 days
PolymarketNO

Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Probability
%
Vol: $13.4M
in 5 months
PolymarketYES

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Probability
%
Vol: $23.8M
in 16 days
PolymarketNO

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Probability
%
Vol: $66.5M
in 16 days
PolymarketNO

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Probability
%
Vol: $36.0M
in 10 months
PolymarketNO

Will the US strike Iran next?

Probability
%
Vol: $1.2M
in 10 months
PolymarketNO

Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Probability
%
Vol: $21.5M
in over 2 years
PolymarketYES

Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?

Probability
%
Vol: $4.2M
1 day ago
PolymarketNO

Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Probability
%
Vol: $17.2M
in over 2 years
PolymarketNO

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Probability
%
Vol: $23.7M
in 16 days
PolymarketYES

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Probability
%
Vol: $44.6M
in 10 months
PolymarketNO

Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?

Probability
%
Vol: $4.3M
1 day ago
PolymarketYES

LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs

Probability
%
Vol: $2.1M
in about 2 hours
PolymarketNO

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Probability
%
Vol: $8.5M
in 5 months
PolymarketYES

Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?

Probability
%
Vol: $1.1M
30 days ago
PolymarketNO

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Probability
%
Vol: $21.2M
in 29 days
PolymarketNO

US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?

Probability
%
Vol: $890.0K
No Expiry
PolymarketNO

Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?

Probability
%
Vol: $23.3M
in 10 months
PolymarketNO

Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Probability
%
Vol: $12.6M
in over 2 years
PolymarketYES

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5AM ET

Probability
%
Vol: $798.1K
about 1 hour ago
PolymarketNO

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Probability
%
Vol: $4.2M
in 29 days
PolymarketNO

Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Probability
%
Vol: $5.9M
in 5 months
PolymarketNO

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Probability
%
Vol: $6.2M
in over 2 years
PolymarketNO

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Probability
%
Vol: $951.5K
in 2 days
PolymarketNO

Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Probability
%
Vol: $25.6M
in over 2 years
PolymarketNO

Will Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Probability
%
Vol: $4.6M
in 3 months
PolymarketNO

Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Probability
%
Vol: $21.9M
in over 2 years
PolymarketNO

Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?

Probability
%
Vol: $25.2M
in 10 months
PolymarketNO

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Probability
%
Vol: $3.1M
in 3 months
PolymarketNO

GTA VI released before June 2026?

Probability
%
Vol: $7.5M
in 3 months
PolymarketNO

Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Probability
%
Vol: $24.8M
in 10 months
PolymarketNO

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Probability
%
Vol: $29.4M
in 10 months
PolymarketNO

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?

Probability
%
Vol: $845.5K
in 10 months
PolymarketNO

Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Probability
%
Vol: $27.5M
in over 2 years
PolymarketNO

Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Probability
%
Vol: $2.8M
in about 1 month
PolymarketNO

Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Probability
%
Vol: $9.8M
in over 2 years
PolymarketNO

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 1?

Probability
%
Vol: $469.5K
in about 5 hours
PolymarketYES

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 1?

Probability
%
Vol: $690.5K
in about 5 hours
PolymarketNO

Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Probability
%
Vol: $30.6M
in over 2 years
PolymarketNO

Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Probability
%
Vol: $4.0M
in about 1 month
PolymarketNO

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 1?

Probability
%
Vol: $651.6K
in about 5 hours
PolymarketNO

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Probability
%
Vol: $32.1M
in 10 months
PolymarketNO

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Probability
%
Vol: $3.6M
in 5 months
PolymarketNO

Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?

Probability
%
Vol: $20.9M
in 10 months
PolymarketNO

Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Probability
%
Vol: $16.2M
in over 2 years
PolymarketNO

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Probability
%
Vol: $22.4M
in over 2 years
PolymarketNO

Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Probability
%
Vol: $5.7M
in 3 months
PolymarketNO

Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Probability
%
Vol: $5.7M
in 4 months
PolymarketNO

Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?

Probability
%
Vol: $20.6M
in 10 months
PolymarketNO

Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Probability
%
Vol: $2.0M
in about 1 month
PolymarketNO

Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Probability
%
Vol: $4.9M
in 3 months
PolymarketNO

Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Probability
%
Vol: $835.6K
in about 1 month
PolymarketNO

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Probability
%
Vol: $574.3K
in 2 days
PolymarketNO

Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Probability
%
Vol: $9.9M
in 3 months
PolymarketNO

Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?

Probability
%
Vol: $38.5M
in 10 months
PolymarketNO

Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Probability
%
Vol: $6.9M
in 4 months
PolymarketNO

Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Probability
%
Vol: $10.4M
in 5 months
PolymarketNO

Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Probability
%
Vol: $4.4M
in 5 months
PolymarketNO

Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Probability
%
Vol: $14.2M
in over 2 years
PolymarketYES

Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 5AM ET

Probability
%
Vol: $334.3K
about 1 hour ago
PolymarketNO

Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Probability
%
Vol: $5.9M
in over 2 years
PolymarketNO

Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?

Probability
%
Vol: $9.3M
in 3 months
PolymarketYES

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Probability
%
Vol: $338.2K
in 10 months
PolymarketNO

Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Probability
%
Vol: $21.7M
in 5 months
PolymarketNO

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Probability
%
Vol: $552.6K
in 2 days
PolymarketYES

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 1?

Probability
%
Vol: $346.1K
in about 5 hours
PolymarketYES

Bitcoin Up or Down on March 1?

Probability
%
Vol: $385.5K
in about 5 hours
PolymarketNO

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Probability
%
Vol: $3.6M
in 5 months
PolymarketNO

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 1?

Probability
%
Vol: $532.5K
in about 5 hours
PolymarketNO

Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Probability
%
Vol: $7.1M
in 4 months
PolymarketYES

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 1?

Probability
%
Vol: $486.3K
in about 5 hours
PolymarketYES

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 1?

Probability
%
Vol: $412.3K
in about 5 hours
PolymarketNO

Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Probability
%
Vol: $36.2M
in over 2 years
PolymarketNO

Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Probability
%
Vol: $13.6M
in over 2 years
PolymarketYES

ODI Series Australia vs India, Women: Australia vs India

Probability
%
Vol: $401.3K
in 6 days
PolymarketNO

Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Probability
%
Vol: $8.4M
in 3 months